Historical Bibliography Updated: June 17, 2026
An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances
Publication Details
Phil. Trans., 53, 370-418. 1763 CE.
Bayes's paper enunciated Bayes's Theorem for calculating "inverse probabilities”—the basis for methods of extracting patterns from data in decision analysis, data mining, statistical learning machines, Bayesian networks, Bayesian inference. Digital facsimile from the Royal Society at this link.
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| Catalog Metadata | Reference Information |
|---|---|
| Entry Number | #8370 |
| Permanent Link | https://staging.historyofmedicine.com/entry/10547 |
| Author Bio Link | Wikipedia ↗ |
| External URL | an-essay-towards-solving-a-problem-in-the-doctrine-of-chances-by-the-late-rev-mr-bayes-frs-communicated-by-mr-price-in-a-letter-to-john-canton-am-frs |